The potential cyclone nine of the current Atlantic Ocean hurricane season could become Tropical Storm Isaías on Tuesday night or Wednesday if it gains strength in the eastern Caribbean, and it has a planned trajectory 5 to 10 days long, which could include South Florida (USA).
The system, without a center yet defined, will unload in the next few hours heavy rains in the Leeward Islands of Sotavento, the British Virgin Islands and in the Virgin Islands of the United States, as well as in Puerto Rico.
According to a bulletin from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC), the Government of the Dominican Republic issued a storm warning from Cabo Caucedo northward, along the northern coast of that country and up to the northern border with Haiti.
At that time, the system was located about 700 kilometers east-southeast of the Leeward Islands, with maximum sustained winds of about 65 km / h.
Strengthening is expected in the next 48 hours, said NHC, based in Miami, Florida.
According to the NHC bulletin, the system is forecast to move through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Wednesday night, and on Thursday near the island of Hispaniola, which includes the Dominican Republic and Haiti.
This system is currently moving in a west-northwest direction at a speed of 37 km / h.
According to a graph provided by the NHC on Tuesday, which shows in a cone the five-day trajectory of the possible storm Isaías, it could pass over the northern half of the Dominican Republic and Haiti on Thursday, and on Friday it could reach the north of the eastern provinces of Cuba.
Being just a forecast, the cone opens even more between Saturday and Sunday and encompasses the entire Florida peninsula.
“Right now, the range of possibilities and clues for this system spans from the Gulf of Mexico to the waters east of the United States and Canada and includes all intermediate areas,” said Rob Miller, chief meteorologist at the privately held company today. AccuWeather weather services.
According to this same service, “it matters where the center is formed, how fast it develops and how strong it becomes before a call can be made to the Gulf (of Mexico) and the United States.”
AccuWeather meteorologists noted that the formation of a center has been delayed in this case due to thunderstorms associated with the observation area, which extend along a stretch of ocean of approximately 1,126 km.
Tropical storms Arthur and Bertha have already formed this year, both before the official start of the cyclone season, which begins on June 1 and ends on November 30.
Then followed Cristóbal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo and Hanna, the latter the first hurricane this year in the Atlantic, which made landfall in Texas on Saturday, July 25.
According to weather forecasts, in the current cyclone season 13 to 19 named storms will form (with winds of 65 kilometers per hour), of which six to ten could become hurricanes (with winds of 119 kilometers per hour). ).
Of those hurricanes, three to six could become greater, that is, with maximum sustained winds of 178 km / h or more, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).